Preview

State and municipal management. Scholar notes

Advanced search

Demographic abyss or regularity? To the problem of population management (by the example of the regions of the Russian Federation and the world)

https://doi.org/10.22394/2079-1690-2023-1-4-24-32

EDN: IWXIVL

Abstract

   A different correlation has been established for different regions of the South of the Russian Federation of the following demographic factors: life expectancy, the ratio of births to deaths, the average life expectancy of men and women, their difference in age, as well as per capita gross regional product. For a world population of about 5 billion people and 51 states of the world, a single natural relationship has been established between an increase in average life expectancy and a decrease in the ratio of the number of births and deaths, regardless of the level of socio-economic development of the regions. The problem of population management in regions and states of different socio-economic levels is associated with the need to solve exclusively socio-economic problems, including in the direction of reducing the difference in the average life expectancy of men and women. Harmonization of the steady state of demographic dynamics is established at the points of the ratio of births and deaths near the golden numbers: 0.618, 1.618, 2.618.

About the Authors

A. V. Kokin
South-Russia Institute of Management – branch of Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Russian Federation

Alexander V. Kokin, Dr. Sci. (Geological and Mineralogical), Professor

Department of Economics, Finance and Environmental Management

Rostov-on-Don



Yu. Yu. Sadovnikova
South-Russia Institute of Management – branch of Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Russian Federation

Yulia Yu. Sadovnikova, Cand. Sci. (Economics), Associate Professor

Department of Economics, Finance and Environmental Management

Rostov-on-Don



Yu. A. Mashchenko
South-Russia Institute of Management – branch of Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Russian Federation

Yulia A. Mashchenko, Cand. Sci. (Economics), Associate Professor

Department of Economics, Finance and Environmental Management

Rostov-on-Don



L. N. Timeichuk
South-Russia Institute of Management – branch of Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration
Russian Federation

Lyudmila N. Timeichuk, Senior Lecturer

Department of Economics, Finance and Environmental Management

Rostov-on-Don



References

1. Kokin A. V. Assimilation potential of the biosphere. Rostov-on-Don: RostIzdat, 2005. 187 p. (In Russ.)

2. Ignatov V. G., Kokin A.V. The law of balanced environmental management and social management. In: Social management: regional aspects. Rostov-on-Don: SKAGS, 2002. P. 214–230. (In Russ.)

3. Modern studies of population migration : Collection of articles / Ed. E. V. Donets, O. S. Chudinovskikh. - Moscow: Faculty of Economics, Lomonosov Moscow State University, 2015. 150 p. (In Russ.)

4. Demographic Yearbook of Russia. Moscow: Rosstat. Annual Statistical Collection; 2021. (In Russ.)

5. Bakaer N. Brief history of mathematical population dynamics / N. Bakaer, V. A. Volpert, D. M. Ediev. - 2021. 190 p. (In Russ.)

6. Kokin A. V. The golden proportion in demography: the world, Russia, regions. In: Collection of materials of the All-Russian scientific-practical conference with international participation. Rostov-on-Don; 2021:198–204. (In Russ.)

7. Kapitsa S. P. General theory of human growth. Moscow: Nauka; 1999. 120 p. (In Russ.)

8. Kapitza S. P. Global Population Blow up and After. The demographic revolution and information society. A Report to the Club of Rome. Moscow; Hamburg: Tolleranza, 2007.

9. Demographic modernization of Russia, 1900–2000. Ed. A.G. Vishnevsky. Moscow: New publishing house; 2006. 608 p. (In Russ.)

10. Buchanan P. J. Death of the West. How does the extinction of the population and increased immigration threaten our country and civilization? Transl. from English. Moscow: "AST"; 2004. 165 p. (In Russ.)

11. Kokin A. V. The golden ratio and evolution. Moscow: "Inform-Pravo"; 2022. 231 p. (In Russ.)


Review

For citations:


Kokin A.V., Sadovnikova Yu.Yu., Mashchenko Yu.A., Timeichuk L.N. Demographic abyss or regularity? To the problem of population management (by the example of the regions of the Russian Federation and the world). State and municipal management. Scholar notes. 2023;(4):24-32. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.22394/2079-1690-2023-1-4-24-32. EDN: IWXIVL

Views: 21


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.


ISSN 2079-1690 (Print)
ISSN 2687-0290 (Online)